Last week, when President Obama announced his compromise with Republicans over the Bush era tax cuts, the general perception throughout the media left one feeling like the Democrats just had their milk money stolen. All the talk of being taken hostage by the Republicans did little to ease that feeling. After working through all the talking points, politicking, and pandering, however, this much is clear: the debate has no obvious winners and losers. Both sides are getting watered down versions of what they really wanted. The basic premise of the deal is as follows:
- The Bush era tax cuts are extended for everyone for the next two years.
- Unemployment benefits are extended for 13 months.
- The estate tax is back, in modified form.
- Social Security taxes are cut for one year.
The tax cut at the top may help the rich more than desired by Democrats, but then the extra Social Security tax cut will help low-income families, and ALL those cuts will help stimulate the moribund economy.
The crux of the Republicans argument is that we are in danger of a double dip recession if the tax cuts expire, a talking point the White House has not been shy about echoing in recent days. Interesting to note is a perceived contradiction by Republicans whereby they refuse to approve anything that might add to the national debt, such as the 9/11 Emergency Responders bill. Yet, extending the tax cuts implies 3.9 trillion dollars in lost revenue over the next ten years. The GOP counters that since the cuts are currently in effect, it’s not technically adding to the deficit.
What is missing from the equation here is any viable long term plan agreed upon by both parties. Yes, we get to do it all again, in just two years! The long term deficit can still be cut, but any meaningful cuts will have to include Medicaid, Social Security, and the military. God speed the politician brave enough to raise those issues. Our elected officials are really doing little more than pushing these problems off for the next 24 months, as one party attempts to out-politic the other. It’s a Ponzi Scheme, as pointed out in my earlier blog!
If the American Congress could tackle as many issues every month as they are through the month of December, American politics would look a lot different. We have seen critical votes attempting to resolve critical issues ranging from the 9/11 Responders health care, Don’t Ask, Don’t Tell, and now the Bush era tax cuts, the estate tax, unemployment benefits extension, and more, all rolled into one. If only Congress could exist as a permanent lame duck!